This is what I played for today, back to just match-up plays. The junk bets have been cutting into my bankroll.
Match-Ups
5.00 units Dale Earnhardt Jr(-130@bodog) over Clint Bowyer
Jr has been stout and consistent since coming off the truck this weekend while Bowyer has struggled a bit as well as having to make an engine change this morning before the race today.
3.00 units Jamie McMurray(+130@sportsbook) over Greg Biffle
Biffle's fortunes have gotten a little better as of late but just don't like him this weekend. He has not done very well at Indy in the past. McMurray has been hit or miss as well after getting off to a good start early in the year, but he has a couple of Top 10's at Indy(in four starts) and being on the dog side of a match-up vs. Biffle I'll take my chances.
3.00 units Matt Kenseth(+115@sportsbook) over Martin Truex Jr.
I know Truex had been on a nice little roll over the past couple of months but have to take Kenseth with this line. Seven Top 10's in the last ten starts and four Top 5's the last five races at Indy. Truex may get a Top 10-15 but Kenseth is a threat for a Top 5 if not the win.
3.00 units Denny Hamlin(+120@sportsbook) over Jimmie Johnson
Hamlin on a flat track, I'm on him. In his last 14 races on flats he has 12 Top 10's, 9 Top 5's and three wins. While Johnson won here last year the results before that were not Hendrick-like and he's been in a little drout lately, only 2 Top 10's in his last seven starts.
3.00 units Jeff Burton(+120@sportsbook) over Kevin Harvick
Like the value here as well as the fact Burton looks stronger this weekend.
YTD TOTALS
+69.15 units (Match-Ups)
-31.30 units (Props/Parlays/Outrights)
+ 37.85 units
Good luck and enjoy the race!
Match-Ups
5.00 units Dale Earnhardt Jr(-130@bodog) over Clint Bowyer
Jr has been stout and consistent since coming off the truck this weekend while Bowyer has struggled a bit as well as having to make an engine change this morning before the race today.
3.00 units Jamie McMurray(+130@sportsbook) over Greg Biffle
Biffle's fortunes have gotten a little better as of late but just don't like him this weekend. He has not done very well at Indy in the past. McMurray has been hit or miss as well after getting off to a good start early in the year, but he has a couple of Top 10's at Indy(in four starts) and being on the dog side of a match-up vs. Biffle I'll take my chances.
3.00 units Matt Kenseth(+115@sportsbook) over Martin Truex Jr.
I know Truex had been on a nice little roll over the past couple of months but have to take Kenseth with this line. Seven Top 10's in the last ten starts and four Top 5's the last five races at Indy. Truex may get a Top 10-15 but Kenseth is a threat for a Top 5 if not the win.
3.00 units Denny Hamlin(+120@sportsbook) over Jimmie Johnson
Hamlin on a flat track, I'm on him. In his last 14 races on flats he has 12 Top 10's, 9 Top 5's and three wins. While Johnson won here last year the results before that were not Hendrick-like and he's been in a little drout lately, only 2 Top 10's in his last seven starts.
3.00 units Jeff Burton(+120@sportsbook) over Kevin Harvick
Like the value here as well as the fact Burton looks stronger this weekend.
YTD TOTALS
+69.15 units (Match-Ups)
-31.30 units (Props/Parlays/Outrights)
+ 37.85 units
Good luck and enjoy the race!
